Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.09
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
9%
4.96
X/2
12%
6.43
X/X
18%
4.77
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.44
2/X
4%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.12/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.30
-5% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -62%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.5 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kifisia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.71 xG 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 265
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-3 HT 3-2 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
26.11.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 1-3 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-2
AWAY Kifisia
0.54 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
262 Passes 246
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kifisia squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 52% of the ball to Kifisia's 48%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.54 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 2.00 for Kifisia.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia?

Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 43%, draw 29%, Kifisia 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ BTTS Yes
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