Asteras Tripolis 3-3 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
10%
9.09
X/X
9%
4.66
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
15%
6.94
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.33/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
+9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -46%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
23.4 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kifisia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
271 Passes 319
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 1-3 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3-3
AWAY Kifisia
2.40 xG 2.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
316 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis and Kifisia couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 58% of the ball to Kifisia's 42%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.40 to 2.16.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia?

Asteras Tripolis 3-3 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 44%, draw 25%, Kifisia 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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