Panserraikos 0-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

Panserraikos
0-2 HT 0-1
PAOK
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Panserraikos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.8
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 24% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
17.0
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
7%
23.15
X/1
6%
20.3
X/2
10%
3.41
X/X EV+ ✗
16%
6.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.52
2/X
6%
22.3
Value flag · X/X at 6.93 — our 16% vs market 10.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.4pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-14.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panserraikos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 72%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.69/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.64
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
14.8 Crosses 19.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Panserraikos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PAOK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.84 xG 2.12
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
332 Passes 630
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
31.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
17.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-4 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
25.11.2023 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
05.01.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
29.08.2010 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
26.04.2009 PAOK PAOK 4-1 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN

Panserraikos 0-2 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
0-2
AWAY PAOK
0.25 xG 0.96
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
161 Passes 562
65% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK saw off Panserraikos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Panserraikos had 28% of the ball to PAOK's 72%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.25 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Panserraikos and 3.67 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs PAOK?

Panserraikos 0-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 17%, draw 29%, PAOK 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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