Panaitolikos 1-2 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
12.5
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
4%
19.9
X/1
5%
15.6
X/2
11%
3.54
X/X EV+ ✗
18%
6.48
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.66
2/X
7%
19.05
Value flag · X/X at 6.48 — our 18% vs market 11.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.5pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-12.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 71%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
0.59/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.62
-22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
10.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
12.1 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.55 xG 1.77
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
241 Passes 553
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-1 HT 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
13.02.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 6-1 HT 2-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.10.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
09.02.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
02.02.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-1 HT 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
19.01.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-2
AWAY Olympiakos
0.12 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
220 Passes 354
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 42
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos nicked a narrow win over Panaitolikos 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 40% of the ball to Olympiakos's 60%, shots finished 3-13, expected goals 0.12 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panaitolikos and 3.00 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Olympiakos?

Panaitolikos 1-2 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 18%, draw 28%, Olympiakos 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5
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