Volos NFC 3-1 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

Volos NFC
3-1 HT 1-1
OFI
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Volos NFC vs OFI Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.62
Over 2.5
56%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
4.5
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.5 — our 28% vs market 17.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.84
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
14%
5.3
X/2
13%
5.5
X/X
12%
3.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
33.0
2/2
18%
4.05
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
58%
-13.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
42%
+13.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volos NFC v OFI — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.02
+22% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.8 Crosses 15.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Volos NFC vs OFI Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY OFI
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
03.01.2023 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
04.09.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
14.05.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 5-0 HT 3-0 OFI OFI YUN
13.02.2022 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
20.11.2021 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN

Volos NFC 3-1 OFI — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
3-1
AWAY OFI
0.58 xG 0.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
229 Passes 306
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC saw off OFI 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Volos NFC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Volos NFC had 44% of the ball to OFI's 56%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.58 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Volos NFC and 1.00 for OFI.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs OFI?

Volos NFC 3-1 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volos NFC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 39%, draw 24%, OFI 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volos NFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volos NFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
28 Feb 2024
16:00 Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia Analysis →
18:00 Atromitos vs Lamia Analysis →
18:00 Panaitolikos vs Olympiakos Analysis →
20:00 AEK Atina vs PAS Giannina Analysis →
21:00 Panserraikos vs PAOK Analysis →
22:00 Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki Analysis →