AEK Atina 4-2 PAS Giannina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

AEK Atina
4-2 HT 1-2
PAS Giannina
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

AEK Atina vs PAS Giannina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.59
2-3 Goals
34%
2.14
4-5 Goals
26%
2.5
6+ Goals
15%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.21
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
31%
3.37
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
9%
13.2
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
4%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
Value flag · X/1 at 3.37 — our 31% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-11.5pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.9pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.4pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AEK Atina v PAS Giannina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
2.26/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.54
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
481 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 68%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
26.1 Crosses 10.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

AEK Atina vs PAS Giannina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
5W-0D-1L
AWAY PAS Giannina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.78 xG 0.63
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
479 Passes 208
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
03.01.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 2-1 HT 2-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
20.10.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUK
04.09.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
11.05.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
18.04.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 2-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN

AEK Atina 4-2 PAS Giannina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
4-2
AWAY PAS Giannina
1.67 xG 0.66
76% Ball Possession 24%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
525 Passes 100
85% Pass Accuracy 50%
37 Box Touches 8
45 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs PAS Giannina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina got the better of PAS Giannina 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, AEK Atina had 76% of the ball to PAS Giannina's 24%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.67 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEK Atina and 0.67 for PAS Giannina.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs PAS Giannina?

AEK Atina 4-2 PAS Giannina in the Greece - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs PAS Giannina?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 70%, draw 17%, PAS Giannina 12%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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