Panathinaikos 2-0 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
16%
3.51
X/2
8%
12.0
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
10.4
2/X
7%
18.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.45/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.24
+14% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
17.6 Crosses 10.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.00 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
394 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
14.05.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.04.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
12.02.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
23.10.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
01.05.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-0
AWAY Aris Saloniki
2.19 xG 0.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
371 Passes 341
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos got the better of Aris Saloniki 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 51% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 49%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.19 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.67 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Panathinaikos 2-0 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 52%, draw 24%, Aris Saloniki 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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