Atromitos 3-1 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
12%
4.82
X/2
14%
6.59
X/X
9%
4.3
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.82
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +22%
1.28/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.01
+25% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
15.9 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Lamia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
355 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Lamia Lamia 3-3 HT 2-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
22.04.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
14.01.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
17.09.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
15.05.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
10.02.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 3-1 HT 0-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
3-1
AWAY Lamia
2.85 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
441 Passes 305
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos saw off Lamia 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Atromitos made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atromitos had 58% of the ball to Lamia's 42%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.85 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 1.00 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Lamia?

Atromitos 3-1 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lamia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 36%, draw 26%, Lamia 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lamia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lamia) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
28 Feb 2024
16:00 Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia Analysis →
16:00 Volos NFC vs OFI Analysis →
18:00 Panaitolikos vs Olympiakos Analysis →
20:00 AEK Atina vs PAS Giannina Analysis →
21:00 Panserraikos vs PAOK Analysis →
22:00 Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki Analysis →