PAOK 5-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.87
2-3 Goals
42%
2.05
4-5 Goals
22%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.44
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
9%
23.45
X/1
21%
3.51
X/2
6%
20.95
X/X
8%
8.99
2/1
5%
20.85
2/2
6%
15.1
2/X
4%
23.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.29/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/2.85
-8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.12 xG 0.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
630 Passes 332
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
17.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-4 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
25.11.2023 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
05.01.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
29.08.2010 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
26.04.2009 PAOK PAOK 4-1 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
20.12.2008 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
5-0
AWAY Panserraikos
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK swept aside Panserraikos 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, PAOK had 58% of the ball to Panserraikos's 42%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PAOK and 0.83 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Panserraikos?

PAOK 5-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Cup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split PAOK 63%, draw 20%, Panserraikos 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUK More Greece - Cup
31 Jan 2024
18:00 Panaitolikos vs OFI Analysis →
20:00 Atromitos vs Panathinaikos Analysis →