Atromitos 0-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 31 Jan 2024

Atromitos
0-2 HT 0-1
Panathinaikos
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2023/2024

Atromitos vs Panathinaikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
52%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 34% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.85
1/2
5%
24.7
1/X
5%
21.3
X/1
10%
14.9
X/2
22%
3.33
X/X
15%
5.89
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.71
2/X
7%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.3pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.9pp
52%
Away Win
67%
-15.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.7pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v Panathinaikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 71%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.17/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.16
+40% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Atromitos vs Panathinaikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.40 xG 1.95
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
214 Passes 514
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
17.12.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-0 HT 3-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
12.03.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.11.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
06.03.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN

Atromitos 0-2 Panathinaikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos saw off Atromitos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Atromitos had 28% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 72%, shots finished 3-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atromitos and 2.33 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Panathinaikos?

Atromitos 0-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Cup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 21%, draw 27%, Panathinaikos 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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