Panathinaikos 1-2 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 24 Jan 2024

Panathinaikos
1-2 HT 1-2
Atromitos
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2023/2024

Panathinaikos vs Atromitos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 24% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.55
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
23.0
X/1
23%
3.29
X/2
8%
18.35
X/X
9%
6.79
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
7%
15.65
2/X
5%
23.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.7pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panathinaikos v Atromitos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.29/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.37
-8% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Panathinaikos vs Atromitos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Atromitos
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.79 xG 0.35
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
507 Passes 215
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-0 HT 3-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
12.03.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.11.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
06.03.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
11.12.2021 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN

Panathinaikos 1-2 Atromitos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-2
AWAY Atromitos
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos nicked a narrow win over Panathinaikos 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Panathinaikos at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 67% of the ball to Atromitos's 33%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.50 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?

Panathinaikos 1-2 Atromitos in the Greece - Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 56%, draw 22%, Atromitos 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Panathinaikos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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