Aris Saloniki 3-0 Niki Volos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
8%
8.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 30% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
23.45
X/1
18%
3.34
X/2
7%
19.85
X/X
12%
7.47
2/1
7%
23.45
2/2
5%
16.2
2/X
4%
23.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-15.3pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.0pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Niki Volos EU Bookmakers 11%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.65/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.20
-35% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +96%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
3-0
AWAY Niki Volos
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 1
12 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Niki Volos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki swept aside Niki Volos 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 67% of the ball to Niki Volos's 33%, shots finished 21-1.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Niki Volos?

Aris Saloniki 3-0 Niki Volos in the Greece - Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Niki Volos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 59%, draw 24%, Niki Volos 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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