Shenzhen Juniors 0-3 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
6%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 32% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
Crosses 20.6
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen Juniors
0-3
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.01 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
225 Passes 211
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shenzhen Juniors vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long cruised past Shenzhen Juniors 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Shenzhen Juniors had 53% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 47%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.01 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Shenzhen Juniors vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Shenzhen Juniors 0-3 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen Juniors vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen Juniors 24%, draw 27%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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