Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.32/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.29
-28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 68%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
30.4 Crosses 12.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
331 Passes 307
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
28.04.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 HT 2-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
02.07.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
2.64 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
435 Passes 231
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang edged past Yanbian Longding 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 60% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 40%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.64 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liaoning Shenyang's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Liaoning Shenyang had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.00 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Yanbian Longding?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 56%, draw 23%, Yanbian Longding 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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