Yanbian Longding 1-1 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.45
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.1pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
0.70/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.97
-22% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
14.9 Crosses 13.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
329 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 HT 2-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
02.07.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding and Liaoning Shenyang shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Yanbian Longding at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yanbian Longding and 1.00 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Yanbian Longding 1-1 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 45%, draw 35%, Liaoning Shenyang 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yanbian Longding), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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