Wuxi Wugou 1-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

Wuxi Wugou
1-1 HT 0-0
Nanjing City
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2024

Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.78
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 39% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.2pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wuxi Wugou v Nanjing City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 45%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.43/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.57
+112% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
237 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
10.4 Crosses 13.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuxi Wugou
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nanjing City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.39 xG 2.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
266 Passes 212
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
8 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 1-1 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
13.05.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 5-0 HT 3-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuxi Wugou and Nanjing City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wuxi Wugou and 3.00 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City?

Wuxi Wugou 1-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuxi Wugou win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 35%, draw 31%, Nanjing City 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wuxi Wugou), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuxi Wugou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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