Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.69
6+ Goals
6%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
46%
-13.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+12.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.73/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.03
+4% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
9.3 Crosses 17.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.84 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
334 Passes 243
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
10.09.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
09.07.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
27.05.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
27.10.2022 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-3 HT 1-2 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Shanghai Jiading shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 0.80 for Shanghai Jiading.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Shanghai Jiading?

Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Jiading win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 32%, draw 30%, Shanghai Jiading 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shanghai Jiading), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Jiading) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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