Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 32% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 23%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.34/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.94
-35% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 72%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
32.1 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
300 Passes 329
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 HT 2-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
02.07.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.08 xG 0.97
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
393 Passes 263
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang squeezed past Yanbian Longding 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 58% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 42%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.08 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.00 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Yanbian Longding?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 48%, draw 23%, Yanbian Longding 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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