Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.19/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.87
+27% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.7 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.04.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-0 HT 0-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1-1
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.67 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
219 Passes 148
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
10 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing and Hebei Kungfu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dalian Zhixing at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 56% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Hebei Kungfu?

Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 44%, draw 28%, Hebei Kungfu 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dalian Zhixing), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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