Yichun Grand Tiger 2-1 Hubei Istar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yichun Grand Tiger EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yichun Grand Tiger
2-1
AWAY Hubei Istar
2.04 xG 0.82
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
376 Passes 135
77% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yichun Grand Tiger vs Hubei Istar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yichun Grand Tiger squeezed past Hubei Istar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yichun Grand Tiger as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yichun Grand Tiger had 68% of the ball to Hubei Istar's 32%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 2.04 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yichun Grand Tiger's control.

What was the final score of Yichun Grand Tiger vs Hubei Istar?

Yichun Grand Tiger 2-1 Hubei Istar in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Hubei Istar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yichun Grand Tiger win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yichun Grand Tiger 45%, draw 29%, Hubei Istar 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yichun Grand Tiger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yichun Grand Tiger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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