Shandong Taishan II 1-3 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan II
1-3
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
0.58 xG 0.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
271 Passes 252
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan II vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen got the better of Shandong Taishan II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 28%) promised a tight game; Guangxi Hengchen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shandong Taishan II had 51% of the ball to Guangxi Hengchen's 49%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.58 to 0.22.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan II vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Shandong Taishan II 1-3 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan II vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan II 36%, draw 36%, Guangxi Hengchen 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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