BIT Beijing 0-1 Ganzhou Ruishi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BIT Beijing EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 37%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.59/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.86
-45% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.0 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BIT Beijing
0-1
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi
0.81 xG 0.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
158 Passes 144
55% Pass Accuracy 53%
25 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 11
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH BIT Beijing vs Ganzhou Ruishi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ganzhou Ruishi edged past BIT Beijing 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ganzhou Ruishi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BIT Beijing had 53% of the ball to Ganzhou Ruishi's 47%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 0.81 to 0.26 — on chances, BIT Beijing could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of BIT Beijing vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

BIT Beijing 0-1 Ganzhou Ruishi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BIT Beijing vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

Before kick-off our model rated a BIT Beijing win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split BIT Beijing 35%, draw 31%, Ganzhou Ruishi 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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