Tudelano 1-1 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tudelano EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
0.66/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.47
-37% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +103%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tudelano
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Utebo
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Utebo Utebo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
25.02.2024 Tudelano Tudelano 0-0 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
15.10.2023 Utebo Utebo 2-2 HT 1-2 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
05.02.2023 Utebo Utebo 1-1 HT 0-0 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
18.09.2022 Tudelano Tudelano 1-0 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tudelano
1-1
AWAY Utebo
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tudelano vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tudelano and Utebo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Tudelano had 41% of the ball to Utebo's 59%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tudelano had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Tudelano and 0.60 for Utebo.

What was the final score of Tudelano vs Utebo?

Tudelano 1-1 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tudelano vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tudelano 31%, draw 32%, Utebo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Utebo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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