Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
0.98/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.90
-6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Numancia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Numancia Numancia 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
2-1
AWAY Numancia
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria squeezed past Numancia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 43% of the ball to Numancia's 57%, shots finished 11-17.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Numancia?

Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 34%, draw 26%, Numancia 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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