Numancia 1-0 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.64/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.16
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
1-0
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia squeezed past Rayo Cantabria 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Numancia had 51% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 49%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Rayo Cantabria?

Numancia 1-0 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Numancia 52%, draw 26%, Rayo Cantabria 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ BTTS No
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