Mostoles 3-1 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-62% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
3-1
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles beat Colonia Moscardo 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Colonia Moscardo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mostoles had 54% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 46%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Colonia Moscardo?

Mostoles 3-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 31%, draw 28%, Colonia Moscardo 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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