Navalcarnero 2-2 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.32/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.20
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Melilla
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.05.2023 Melilla Melilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
08.01.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
2-2
AWAY Melilla
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero and Melilla shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 61% of the ball to Melilla's 39%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melilla led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Navalcarnero and 0.50 for Melilla.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Melilla?

Navalcarnero 2-2 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 34%, draw 30%, Melilla 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
24 Nov 2024
13:00 Getafe II vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Juventud Torremolinos Analysis →
14:00 Tenerife II vs Real Madrid III Analysis →
14:00 Illescas vs Talavera CF Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs SS Reyes Analysis →