Illescas 0-1 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.94/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.60
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illescas
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 5
10.12.2023 Illescas 1-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF squeezed past Illescas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Talavera CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Talavera CF?

Illescas 0-1 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Illescas 34%, draw 34%, Talavera CF 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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