Conquense 1-4 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.25/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.41
+3% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Conquense
1-4
AWAY Cacereno
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno swept aside Conquense 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Conquense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Conquense had 51% of the ball to Cacereno's 49%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Cacereno?

Conquense 1-4 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Conquense 42%, draw 30%, Cacereno 28%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Conquense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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