Cacereno 3-1 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.44/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.60
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Conquense
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Conquense Conquense 1-4 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
3-1
AWAY Conquense
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno got the better of Conquense 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno had 59% of the ball to Conquense's 41%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Conquense?

Cacereno 3-1 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 49%, draw 28%, Conquense 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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