Union Adarve 1-0 Union Sur Yaiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.46/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.94
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.11.2024 Union Sur Yaiza 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
1-0
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Union Sur Yaiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve edged past Union Sur Yaiza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Adarve as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union Adarve had 47% of the ball to Union Sur Yaiza's 53%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Union Adarve 1-0 Union Sur Yaiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 41%, draw 29%, Union Sur Yaiza 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Adarve), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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