Union Sur Yaiza 0-1 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 32%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.24
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
205 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve squeezed past Union Sur Yaiza 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Union Sur Yaiza at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Union Adarve?

Union Sur Yaiza 0-1 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 42%, draw 26%, Union Adarve 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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