Schalke 04 vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Schalke 04 v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals
Schalke 04 vs Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-1
Schalke 04
HAZ
1-3
HT 0-1
Schalke 04
AFK
Schalke 04 2-1 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics
Schalke 04 edged past Ulm 1846 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Schalke 04 had 57% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 43%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.87 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Schalke 04's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.00 for Ulm 1846.
What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Ulm 1846?
Schalke 04 2-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Ulm 1846?
Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 47%, draw 24%, Ulm 1846 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.