Elversberg 6-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.66
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.5
X/1
26%
3.86
X/2
6%
15.55
X/X
10%
6.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.45
2/2
6%
13.4
2/X
7%
21.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 16%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
2.11/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.92
-56% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
15.6 Crosses 16.6
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.74 xG 0.77
79% Ball Possession 21%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
638 Passes 110
88% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
26.04.2014 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
23.11.2013 Elversberg Elversberg 3-1 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
6-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
4.44 xG 0.73
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
470 Passes 193
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg swept aside Jahn Regensburg 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Elversberg had 66% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 34%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 4.44 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elversberg and 0.67 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Jahn Regensburg?

Elversberg 6-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 57%, draw 24%, Jahn Regensburg 19%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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