Jahn Regensburg 1-0 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
13%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.29
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
13%
9.05
X/2
19%
4.42
X/X
8%
5.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.3
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 83%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Elversberg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
26.04.2014 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
23.11.2013 Elversberg Elversberg 3-1 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1-0
AWAY Elversberg
0.77 xG 0.74
21% Ball Possession 79%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
110 Passes 638
60% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg squeezed past Elversberg 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Elversberg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 21% of the ball to Elversberg's 79%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.77 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Elversberg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.50 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Elversberg?

Jahn Regensburg 1-0 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 28%, draw 23%, Elversberg 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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