Hannover 96 2-1 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
13%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.59
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
18%
4.66
X/2
8%
7.78
X/X
18%
5.08
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
12%
5.33
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.82/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.61
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
21.1 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
08.12.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
06.05.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-1 HT 2-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
30.10.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-0 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
29.04.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-0 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
27.11.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-0 HT 3-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
2-1
AWAY Karlsruher SC
2.22 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 nicked a narrow win over Karlsruher SC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 55% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 45%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.22 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hannover 96's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hannover 96 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.50 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC?

Hannover 96 2-1 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 43%, draw 30%, Karlsruher SC 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024
15:00 Greuther Fürth vs Darmstadt 98 Analysis →
15:00 Jahn Regensburg vs Elversberg Analysis →
22:30 Hertha Berlin vs Köln Analysis →