Greuther Fürth 1-5 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
8%
6.01
X/2
17%
5.48
X/X
12%
5.45
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
3.28
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.61/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.39
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.9 Crosses 17.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 1.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
13.11.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
16.04.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-2 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
15.12.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-4 HT 0-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
29.05.2020 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
02.11.2019 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-1 HT 2-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
1-5
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.06 xG 1.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 3
388 Passes 600
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 ran out comfortable winners over Greuther Fürth 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 40% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 60%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.06 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.50 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Darmstadt 98?

Greuther Fürth 1-5 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated an Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 34%, draw 24%, Darmstadt 98 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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