Hertha Berlin 0-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.87
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
11%
6.29
X/2
8%
5.45
X/X
12%
5.4
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
19%
3.17
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.69/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.56
+54% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
17.3 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Köln
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
274 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2023 Köln Köln 5-2 HT 3-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
12.11.2022 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-0 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
09.01.2022 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-3 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL1
15.08.2021 Köln Köln 3-1 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
15.05.2021 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
16.01.2021 Köln Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
0-1
AWAY Köln
0.55 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
345 Passes 406
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln edged past Hertha Berlin 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Köln found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 47% of the ball to Köln's 53%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.55 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.83 for Köln.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Köln?

Hertha Berlin 0-1 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 37%, draw 28%, Köln 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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