Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.36
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
12%
12.9
X/1
10%
5.3
X/2
17%
6.4
X/X
9%
4.51
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
10%
4.51
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.47/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.52
-5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.3 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 11
351 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 4-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
30.04.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
24.11.2006 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2-1
AWAY Hansa Rostock
60% Ball Possession 40%
29 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 6
367 Passes 207
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen nicked a narrow win over Hansa Rostock 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Essen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 60% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 40%, shots finished 29-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.00 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Hansa Rostock?

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 39%, draw 28%, Hansa Rostock 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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