St. Truidense 0-3 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Apr 2025

St. Truidense
0-3 HT 0-3
Kortrijk
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs Kortrijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.26
6+ Goals
14%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.38
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.5
X/2
12%
8.8
X/X
8%
5.16
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2
11%
6.71
2/X
6%
14.85
Value flag · 1/X at 13.55 — our 11% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v Kortrijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.52/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.38
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.2 Crosses 18.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

St. Truidense vs Kortrijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.16 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 4-2 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
01.09.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
09.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.08.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
04.02.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.08.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk ran out comfortable winners over St. Truidense 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was St. Truidense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Truidense and 0.50 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Kortrijk?

St. Truidense 0-3 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 46%, draw 25%, Kortrijk 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Truidense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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