Anderlecht 1-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.98
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
13%
6.18
X/2
14%
5.74
X/X
13%
4.91
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.55
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +20%
1.17/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.37
-47% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
15.9 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Genk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 2.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
381 Passes 380
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
17.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
11.05.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
20.04.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
03.09.2023 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-2
AWAY Genk
0.61 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
390 Passes 453
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk nicked a narrow win over Anderlecht 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Genk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Anderlecht had 48% of the ball to Genk's 52%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.61 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Anderlecht and 1.50 for Genk.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Genk?

Anderlecht 1-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 38%, draw 24%, Genk 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
6 Apr 2025
14:30 Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge Analysis →
17:00 St. Truidense vs Kortrijk Analysis →
20:15 Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege Analysis →