Genk 2-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.7
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.72
X/2
8%
7.64
X/X
11%
4.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.85
2/2
14%
5.34
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.82/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.71
+20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.3 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Anderlecht
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.41 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 373
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
11.05.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
20.04.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
03.09.2023 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
16.04.2023 Genk Genk 5-2 HT 2-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
2-0
AWAY Anderlecht
2.27 xG 0.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
428 Passes 385
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Genk vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk saw off Anderlecht 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genk had 52% of the ball to Anderlecht's 48%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.27 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Genk and 1.33 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Genk vs Anderlecht?

Genk 2-0 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Genk 47%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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