Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.6
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.59
X/2
11%
5.99
X/X
9%
4.53
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
20%
3.97
2/X
12%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.76/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.39
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 80%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.4 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 409
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.07.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BSK
13.05.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
21.04.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
07.02.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-2
AWAY Club Brugge
1.07 xG 1.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
290 Passes 415
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise and Club Brugge shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 42% of the ball to Club Brugge's 58%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.07 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.33 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 36%, draw 27%, Club Brugge 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ BTTS Yes
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