Cercle Brugge 1-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.42
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
19%
5.12
X/2
14%
6.12
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.39
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.36/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.39
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.4 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
3W-2D-1L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
199 Passes 253
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
16.12.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
07.10.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-2 HT 2-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.02.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.11.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
12.02.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-0
AWAY OH Leuven
1.20 xG 0.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
237 Passes 286
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge nicked a narrow win over OH Leuven 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Cercle Brugge found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 48% of the ball to OH Leuven's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.33 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs OH Leuven?

Cercle Brugge 1-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 39%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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