OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.22
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
11%
5.33
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
9%
5.02
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
15%
4.02
2/X
11%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +19%
1.76/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.44
+34% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
16.5 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.21 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 Passes 218
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
07.10.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-2 HT 2-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.02.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.11.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
12.02.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
31.07.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-1
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.18 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
261 Passes 219
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was OH Leuven at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 53% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 47%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.18 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for OH Leuven and 1.67 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?

OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 42%, draw 25%, Cercle Brugge 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OH Leuven), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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