Gent 4-1 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
15%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.62
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
15%
7.47
X/X
14%
5.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.45
2/2
15%
4.72
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +27%
1.34/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.39
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.2 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Westerlo
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.98 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
446 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Gent Gent 3-2 HT 2-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
07.04.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
27.01.2024 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
13.08.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
27.05.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
28.04.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
4-1
AWAY Westerlo
2.57 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
294 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent ran out comfortable winners over Westerlo 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gent found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gent had 51% of the ball to Westerlo's 49%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.57 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Gent and 1.17 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Gent vs Westerlo?

Gent 4-1 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gent 39%, draw 26%, Westerlo 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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