Gent 3-2 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.7
2-3 Goals
38%
2.27
4-5 Goals
30%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.45
X/1
21%
3.85
X/2
5%
17.15
X/X
8%
9.18
2/1
8%
18.25
2/2
9%
11.05
2/X
6%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.1pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.25/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.34
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.5 Crosses 13.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Westerlo
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.94 xG 1.21
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
455 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
27.01.2024 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
13.08.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
27.05.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
28.04.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
11.02.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-3 HT 2-2 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
3-2
AWAY Westerlo
2.45 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
375 Passes 356
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gent vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent squeezed past Westerlo 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gent had 50% of the ball to Westerlo's 50%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 2.45 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Gent and 1.33 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Gent vs Westerlo?

Gent 3-2 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gent 59%, draw 21%, Westerlo 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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