Mechelen 3-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Apr 2024

Mechelen
3-0 HT 0-0
OH Leuven
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Mechelen vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 26% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
18%
5.13
X/2
10%
6.65
X/X
10%
5.24
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
13%
4.28
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.2pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.62/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.33
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.0 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Mechelen vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY OH Leuven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.30 xG 1.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
356 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-3 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.09.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
08.04.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.09.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
15.01.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Mechelen 3-0 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
3-0
AWAY OH Leuven
2.78 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
345 Passes 264
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen swept aside OH Leuven 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mechelen had 55% of the ball to OH Leuven's 45%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 2.78 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mechelen and 2.33 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs OH Leuven?

Mechelen 3-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 46%, draw 24%, OH Leuven 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ BTTS No
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