OH Leuven 2-3 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.83
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.8
X/2
10%
5.51
X/X
10%
4.6
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
24%
3.58
2/X
8%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.47/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
+33% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
15.5 Crosses 17.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.76 xG 0.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
346 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.09.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
08.04.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.09.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
15.01.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
18.09.2021 Mechelen Mechelen 2-0 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
2-3
AWAY Mechelen
1.74 xG 2.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
477 Passes 312
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen squeezed past OH Leuven 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 58% of the ball to Mechelen's 42%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.74 to 2.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OH Leuven and 0.67 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

OH Leuven 2-3 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 35%, draw 25%, Mechelen 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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