Anderlecht 1-0 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Mar 2024

Anderlecht
1-0 HT 0-0
Royal Antwerp
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
12%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.41
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
17%
5.33
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
14%
4.63
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.02
2/X
9%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v Royal Antwerp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.42/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.29
-20% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
14.1 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.09 xG 1.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
417 Passes 384
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
06.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
29.01.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
06.11.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.05.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 2-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
08.05.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-4 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL

Anderlecht 1-0 Royal Antwerp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-0
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.29 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
457 Passes 335
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht nicked a narrow win over Royal Antwerp 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Anderlecht found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 56% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 44%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.29 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Anderlecht and 0.33 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp?

Anderlecht 1-0 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 37%, draw 29%, Royal Antwerp 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
30 Mar 2024
20:15 OH Leuven vs Mechelen Analysis →